Bed capacity and surgical waiting lists: a simulation analysis

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dc.contributor.affiliationUniversidade de Santiago de Compostela. Departamento de Fundamentos da Análise Económica
dc.contributor.authorAntelo Suárez, Manel
dc.contributor.authorReyes Santias, Francisco
dc.contributor.authorMartínez Calvo, Adela
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-04T13:43:42Z
dc.date.available2026-02-04T13:43:42Z
dc.date.issued2015-12-30
dc.description.abstractWaiting time for elective surgery is a key problem in the current medical world. This paper aims to reproduce, by a Monte Carlo simulation model, the relationship between hospital capacity, inpatient activity, and surgery waiting list size in teaching hospitals. Inpatient activity is simulated by fitting a Normal distribution to real inpatient activity data, and the effect of the number of beds on inpatient activity is modelled with a linear regression model. Analysis is performed with data of the University Multi-Hospital Complex of Santiago de Compostela (Santiago de Compostela, Spain), by considering two scenarios regarding the elastiticity of demand with bed increase. If demand does not grow with an increase on bed capacity, small changes lead to drastic reductions in the waiting lists. However, if demand grows as bed capacity does, adding additional capacity merely makes waiting lists worse
dc.description.peerreviewedSI
dc.description.sponsorshipThe authors thank two anonymous reviewers for useful comments and suggestions. They also acknowledge discussions with seminar participants at XV Applied Economics Meeting held in A Coruña (Spain) on June 7-8, 2012. MA acknowledges funding from the Galician Regional Government (Xunta de Galicia) through Grant GPC 2013-045. The work of AM-C was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (Project MTM2008-03010), the Galician Regional Government (PGIDIT07PXIB207031PR), and the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Industry (10MDS207015PR).
dc.identifier.citationBed capacity and surgical waiting lists: a simulation analysis. (2015). European Journal of Government and Economics, 4(2), 118-133. https://doi.org/10.17979/ejge.2015.4.2.4310
dc.identifier.doi10.17979/EJGE.2015.4.2.4310
dc.identifier.issn2254-7088
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10347/45680
dc.issue.number2
dc.journal.titleEuropean Journal of Government and Economics
dc.language.isoeng
dc.page.final133
dc.page.initial118
dc.publisherUniversidade da Coruña
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://doi.org/10.17979/EJGE.2015.4.2.4310
dc.rightsTo facilitate maximum dissemination and use, all articles are licensed “Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International Public License (CC BY-NC 4.0)
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International
dc.rights.accessRightsopen access
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.subjectHospital beds
dc.subjectInpatient activity
dc.subjectLength of stay
dc.subjectMonte Carlo simulation
dc.subjectSurgery waiting lists
dc.titleBed capacity and surgical waiting lists: a simulation analysis
dc.typejournal article
dc.type.hasVersionVoR
dc.volume.number4
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationce14256d-4eea-45f0-8029-515d1ac77268
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryce14256d-4eea-45f0-8029-515d1ac77268

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