RT Journal Article
T1 Net reductions or spatiotemporal displacement of intentional wildfires in response to arrests? : evidence from Spain
A1 Prestemon, Jeffrey P.
A1 Butry, David T.
A1 Chas Amil, María Luisa
A1 Touza, Julia M.
K1 Arson
K1 Autoregression
K1 Elections
K1 Negative binomial
K1 Panel data
K1 Spatiotemporal
K1 Zero inflation
AB Research to date has not examined how the impacts of arrests manifest across space and time in environmentalcrimes. We evaluate whether arrests reduce or merely spatiotemporally displace intentional illegal outdoor firesetting.Using municipality-level daily wildfire count data from Galicia, Spain, from 1999 to 2014, we develop dailyspatiotemporal ignition count models of agricultural, non-agricultural and total intentional illegal wildfires as functionsof spatiotemporally lagged arrests, the election cycle, seasonal and day indicators, meteorological factors andsocioeconomic variables. We find evidence that arrests reduce future intentional illegal fires across space in subsequenttime periods.
PB CSIRO Publishing
SN 1049-8001
YR 2019
FD 2019
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10347/20941
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10347/20941
LA eng
NO Prestemon, J., Butry, D., Chas-Amil, M. and Touza, J. (2019). Net reductions or spatiotemporal displacement of intentional wildfires in response to arrests? Evidence from Spain. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 28(6), 397-411
NO This research was partly funded by Project ECO2017–89274-R MINECO/AEI/FEDER, UE
DS Minerva
RD 24 abr 2026