RT Journal Article
T1 Validation of an AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average model for the prediction of animal zone temperature in a weaned piglet building
A1 Ortega Martínez, Juan Antonio
A1 Losada, Eugenio
A1 Besteiro, Roberto
A1 Arango López, Tamara
A1 Ginzo Villamayor, María José
A1 Velo Sabín, Ramón
A1 Fernández Rodríguez, María Dolores
A1 Rodríguez Rodríguez, Manuel Ramiro
K1 Weaned piglets
K1 ARIMA
K1 Validation
K1 Temperature
K1 Indoor climate
K1 Livestock buildings
AB An AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average model was validated for the prediction of temperatures in the animal zone of conventional weaned piglet barn. The validation period covered seven cycles and recorded values at 10-min intervals for 292 days. Average weight was 5.75 ± 0.86 kg at the beginning of the production cycle and 18.41 ± 2.12 kg at the end of the cycle. Mean outdoor air temperatures ranged 6.14 to 17.85 °C with deviations in the range 2.49 °C to 5.24 °C, which involved marked differences in the operation of the ventilation system. The Mean Average Percentage Error was below 4%, with a mean error of ≤1 °C. The Root Mean Square Error was in the range 0.77 °C to 1.19 °C, whereas the coefficient of determination ranged between 0.52 and 0.81. Despite the changes in environmental conditions and in animal weight and management, the accuracy of the model remained stable with low dispersion of values. The model showed good accuracy and reliability covering all the seasons under changing meteorological conditions because it considered the operation of the heating and ventilation systems and changes in animal weight. The residuals obtained from the validation of the seven production cycles were Gaussian distributed, which confirmed the validity of the model. The generated model can be used for more effective environmental control systems that are capable of anticipating events and show a better response, which helps improve energy savings and animal welfare
PB Elsevier
SN 1537-5110
YR 2018
FD 2018
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10347/18643
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10347/18643
LA eng
NO Ortega, J., Losada, E., Besteiro, R., Arango, T., Ginzo-Villamayor, M., & Velo, R. et al. (2018). Validation of an AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average model for the prediction of animal zone temperature in a weaned piglet building. Biosystems Engineering, 174, 231-238. doi: 10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2018.07.012
NO The authors are grateful to the regional government Xunta de Galicia for funding this research through the “Programme of consolidation and structuring of competitive research units” (GPC2014/072)
DS Minerva
RD 3 may 2026