RT Journal Article
T1 Modelling annual prevalence of tobacco consumption in Spain, 1991–2020
A1 Guerra Tort, Carla
A1 López Vizcaíno, María Esther
A1 Santiago Pérez, María Isolina
A1 Rey Brandariz, Julia
A1 Candal Pedreira, Cristina
A1 Varela Lema, María Leonor
A1 Galán, Iñaki
A1 Ruano Raviña, Alberto
A1 Pérez Ríos, Mónica
K1 Smoking
K1 Reconstructive surgical procedures
K1 Spain
K1 Tobacco
K1 Tobacco use
K1 Epidemics
K1 Precision
K1 Smokers
K1 Tobacco smoking
AB The aim of this study was to estimate the series of tobacco smoking prevalence year-by-year in Spain, by sex and age group, for the period 1991–2020. Based on smoking prevalence obtained from national surveys and smoking-related auxiliary information from public statistics, we fitted a multinomial logistic mixed model with random area and time effects. Joinpoint regression was used to identify changes in the prevalence series across the period. To analyse the precision of the model-based estimates, we calculated the coefficients of variation. Between 1991 and 2020, the prevalence of smoking in Spain decreased in both sexes. In the 15–24 age group, the prevalence of smokers showed no differences by sex until 2007, after which prevalence in men exceeded that of women. However, in women aged 55 and over prevalence of smoking has been rising since 1991. After applying the model, the precision of smoking prevalence estimates improved. The reconstruction of a detailed series of tobacco smoking prevalence provides insight into the evolution of the tobacco epidemic in Spain. A detailed analysis by sex and age shows different trends in the prevalence of smoking among women that should be considered when control measures are formulated.
PB Oxford University Press
SN 1101-1262
YR 2025
FD 2025-03-10
LK https://hdl.handle.net/10347/42382
UL https://hdl.handle.net/10347/42382
LA eng
NO Carla Guerra-Tort, Esther López-Vizcaíno, María Isolina Santiago-Pérez, Julia Rey-Brandariz, Cristina Candal-Pedreira, Leonor Varela-Lema, Iñaki Galán, Alberto Ruano-Ravina, Mónica Pérez-Ríos, Modelling annual prevalence of tobacco consumption in Spain, 1991–2020, European Journal of Public Health, Volume 35, Issue 2, April 2025, Pages 263–269, https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckaf015
NO This study was supported by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII) [grant number “PI22/00727”] and co-financed by the European Union.
DS Minerva
RD 24 abr 2026