RT Journal Article
T1 Spatial and temporal expansion of global wildland fire activity in response to climate change
A1 Senande Rivera, Martín
A1 Insua Costa, Damián
A1 Míguez Macho, Gonzalo
K1 Atmospheric science
K1 Fire ecology
K1 Projection and prediction
AB Global warming is expected to alter wildfire potential and fire season severity, but the magnitude and location of change is still unclear. Here, we show that climate largely determines present fire-prone regions and their fire season. We categorize these regions according to the climatic characteristics of their fire season into four classes, within general Boreal, Temperate, Tropical and Arid climate zones. Based on climate model projections, we assess the modification of the fire-prone regions in extent and fire season length at the end of the 21st century. We find that due to global warming, the global area with frequent fire-prone conditions would increase by 29%, mostly in Boreal (+111%) and Temperate (+25%) zones, where there may also be a significant lengthening of the potential fire season. Our estimates of the global expansion of fire-prone areas highlight the large but uneven impact of a warming climate on Earth’s environment
PB Springer Nature LTD
YR 2022
FD 2022
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10347/30139
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10347/30139
LA eng
NO Senande-Rivera, M., Insua-Costa, D. & Miguez-Macho, G. Spatial and temporal expansion of global wildland fire activity in response to climate change. Nat Commun 13, 1208 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28835-2
NO Funding comes from the Spanish Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad OPERMO (CGL2017-89859-R) and the CRETUS strategic partnership (AGRUP2015/02). All these programs are co-funded by the European Union ERDF. M.S.R. acknowledges Xunta de Galicia for a predoctoral grant (Programa de axudas á etapa predoutoral 2019, ED481A-2019/112). D.I.C. was awarded a pre-doctoral FPI (PRE2018-084425) grant from the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities
DS Minerva
RD 24 abr 2026